Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns closely with the market's dominant 92-93°F bin, as real-time observations and model consensus support a maximum in the low-to-mid 90s—several degrees above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 86.4°F. Limited upside risk to 94°F or higher stems from minor forecast spread and typical convective timing, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given current warming trends and dew points favoring heat retention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 23?
92-93°F 54%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 11%
88-89°F 2%
$14,924 Vol.
$14,924 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
54%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 54%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 11%
88-89°F 2%
$14,924 Vol.
$14,924 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
54%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns closely with the market's dominant 92-93°F bin, as real-time observations and model consensus support a maximum in the low-to-mid 90s—several degrees above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 86.4°F. Limited upside risk to 94°F or higher stems from minor forecast spread and typical convective timing, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given current warming trends and dew points favoring heat retention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions