Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25 indicate daytime highs likely in the 20–24°C range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projecting 24–26°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms. International models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and others trend cooler near 20–21°C due to persistent cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce solar heating at the city's high elevation. Recent days have run below seasonal norms, including a 22.6°C maximum on August 23, reflecting increased moisture from regional tropical activity that enhances convection and limits peak temperatures. This uncertainty in model consensus and the moderating effects of afternoon storms underpin the market's concentration on 22–23°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 41%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
25%
23°C
41%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 41%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$7 Vol.
2%
20°C
$42 Vol.
4%
21°C
$2 Vol.
12%
22°C
$9 Vol.
25%
23°C
$58 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$5 Vol.
5%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25 indicate daytime highs likely in the 20–24°C range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projecting 24–26°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms. International models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and others trend cooler near 20–21°C due to persistent cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce solar heating at the city's high elevation. Recent days have run below seasonal norms, including a 22.6°C maximum on August 23, reflecting increased moisture from regional tropical activity that enhances convection and limits peak temperatures. This uncertainty in model consensus and the moderating effects of afternoon storms underpin the market's concentration on 22–23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$148End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25 indicate daytime highs likely in the 20–24°C range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projecting 24–26°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms. International models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and others trend cooler near 20–21°C due to persistent cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce solar heating at the city's high elevation. Recent days have run below seasonal norms, including a 22.6°C maximum on August 23, reflecting increased moisture from regional tropical activity that enhances convection and limits peak temperatures. This uncertainty in model consensus and the moderating effects of afternoon storms underpin the market's concentration on 22–23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$148End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25 indicate daytime highs likely in the 20–24°C range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projecting 24–26°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms. International models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and others trend cooler near 20–21°C due to persistent cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce solar heating at the city's high elevation. Recent days have run below seasonal norms, including a 22.6°C maximum on August 23, reflecting increased moisture from regional tropical activity that enhances convection and limits peak temperatures. This uncertainty in model consensus and the moderating effects of afternoon storms underpin the market's concentration on 22–23°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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