Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity levels around 85–90%. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier historical analogs. Model consensus points to a narrow range around 26°C as the most likely outcome, with slight variations in wind patterns or rainfall timing potentially allowing brief drops toward 24–25°C or holding readings at 27°C. High dew points near 25°C further suppress cooling, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 26°C and lower thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance tonight will refine the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
20°C or below 93%
21°C 93%
22°C 93%
26°C 50.3%
$1,531 Vol.
$1,531 Vol.
20°C or below
93%
21°C
93%
22°C
93%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 93%
21°C 93%
22°C 93%
26°C 50.3%
$1,531 Vol.
$1,531 Vol.
20°C or below
93%
21°C
93%
22°C
93%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity levels around 85–90%. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier historical analogs. Model consensus points to a narrow range around 26°C as the most likely outcome, with slight variations in wind patterns or rainfall timing potentially allowing brief drops toward 24–25°C or holding readings at 27°C. High dew points near 25°C further suppress cooling, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 26°C and lower thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance tonight will refine the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions