Trader sentiment centers on the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City on August 24, reflecting typical late-rainy-season variability around the 30°C climatological mean. Persistent high humidity, frequent afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and variable cloud cover from passing showers create a tight range; clearer mornings or delayed storms can push readings 1–2°C above average while earlier or heavier rain suppresses peaks. Recent model consensus shows minimal large-scale forcing, with local steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the thermometer crests at 32°C or edges to 33°C before evening cooling. Official forecasts place the expected high near 30–31°C, leaving room for modest positive anomalies that explain the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
32°C 39%
33°C 34%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
34%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
33°C 34%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
26°C or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37 Vol.
1%
29°C
$131 Vol.
2%
30°C
$109 Vol.
4%
31°C
$346 Vol.
21%
32°C
$87 Vol.
39%
33°C
$147 Vol.
34%
34°C
$42 Vol.
6%
35°C
$95 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City on August 24, reflecting typical late-rainy-season variability around the 30°C climatological mean. Persistent high humidity, frequent afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and variable cloud cover from passing showers create a tight range; clearer mornings or delayed storms can push readings 1–2°C above average while earlier or heavier rain suppresses peaks. Recent model consensus shows minimal large-scale forcing, with local steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the thermometer crests at 32°C or edges to 33°C before evening cooling. Official forecasts place the expected high near 30–31°C, leaving room for modest positive anomalies that explain the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$974End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City on August 24, reflecting typical late-rainy-season variability around the 30°C climatological mean. Persistent high humidity, frequent afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and variable cloud cover from passing showers create a tight range; clearer mornings or delayed storms can push readings 1–2°C above average while earlier or heavier rain suppresses peaks. Recent model consensus shows minimal large-scale forcing, with local steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the thermometer crests at 32°C or edges to 33°C before evening cooling. Official forecasts place the expected high near 30–31°C, leaving room for modest positive anomalies that explain the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$974End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City on August 24, reflecting typical late-rainy-season variability around the 30°C climatological mean. Persistent high humidity, frequent afternoon convection driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and variable cloud cover from passing showers create a tight range; clearer mornings or delayed storms can push readings 1–2°C above average while earlier or heavier rain suppresses peaks. Recent model consensus shows minimal large-scale forcing, with local steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the thermometer crests at 32°C or edges to 33°C before evening cooling. Official forecasts place the expected high near 30–31°C, leaving room for modest positive anomalies that explain the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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