Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon/evening thunderstorms during Panama’s wet season limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to historical August averages of 24–26 °C. Official forecasts for August 24 project overnight lows near 26 °C under partly cloudy skies with continued moisture, though variable cloud cover and isolated showers introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. This scientific context aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 25–27 °C, where traders weigh the narrow range of expected conditions against the possibility of slightly warmer or cooler readings depending on the timing and extent of convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
30°C or higher 48%
26°C 29%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
16%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
48%
30°C or higher 48%
26°C 29%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
16%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon/evening thunderstorms during Panama’s wet season limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to historical August averages of 24–26 °C. Official forecasts for August 24 project overnight lows near 26 °C under partly cloudy skies with continued moisture, though variable cloud cover and isolated showers introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. This scientific context aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 25–27 °C, where traders weigh the narrow range of expected conditions against the possibility of slightly warmer or cooler readings depending on the timing and extent of convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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