**Trader consensus clusters around 88–91°F for Houston’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection.** Official National Weather Service guidance projects a partly sunny day with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon, and a high near 92°F under easterly flow of 5–10 mph. Persistent Gulf moisture and high humidity favor scattered storms that could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and cap peak temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. Clearer conditions or delayed storm development would allow stronger insolation and readings closer to 92–93°F. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of precipitation, while historical September highs average near 90–92°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 17?
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 33%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 33%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
79°F or below
$319 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$329 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$63 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$872 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$1,256 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$1,772 Vol.
38%
90-91°F
$792 Vol.
33%
92-93°F
$202 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$10 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters around 88–91°F for Houston’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection.** Official National Weather Service guidance projects a partly sunny day with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon, and a high near 92°F under easterly flow of 5–10 mph. Persistent Gulf moisture and high humidity favor scattered storms that could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and cap peak temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. Clearer conditions or delayed storm development would allow stronger insolation and readings closer to 92–93°F. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of precipitation, while historical September highs average near 90–92°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,613End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters around 88–91°F for Houston’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection.** Official National Weather Service guidance projects a partly sunny day with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon, and a high near 92°F under easterly flow of 5–10 mph. Persistent Gulf moisture and high humidity favor scattered storms that could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and cap peak temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. Clearer conditions or delayed storm development would allow stronger insolation and readings closer to 92–93°F. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of precipitation, while historical September highs average near 90–92°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,613End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters around 88–91°F for Houston’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection.** Official National Weather Service guidance projects a partly sunny day with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon, and a high near 92°F under easterly flow of 5–10 mph. Persistent Gulf moisture and high humidity favor scattered storms that could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and cap peak temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. Clearer conditions or delayed storm development would allow stronger insolation and readings closer to 92–93°F. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of precipitation, while historical September highs average near 90–92°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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