Recent forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows on August 30 near 18–22°C, driven by a northerly airflow that has already lowered daytime highs midweek and is expected to persist with moderate winds of 10–20 km/h. This circulation promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling after sunset, favoring minimums in the low 20s °C, though increased humidity and variable cloud cover could limit drops below 20°C. Historical August lows average 20–21°C, providing context for the clustered trader probabilities around 19–23°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts shows limited spread, but small shifts in wind speed or dew points could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C or higher 69%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
7%
17°C
28%
18°C
20%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
2%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
69%
26°C or higher 69%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows on August 30 near 18–22°C, driven by a northerly airflow that has already lowered daytime highs midweek and is expected to persist with moderate winds of 10–20 km/h. This circulation promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling after sunset, favoring minimums in the low 20s °C, though increased humidity and variable cloud cover could limit drops below 20°C. Historical August lows average 20–21°C, providing context for the clustered trader probabilities around 19–23°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts shows limited spread, but small shifts in wind speed or dew points could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows on August 30 near 18–22°C, driven by a northerly airflow that has already lowered daytime highs midweek and is expected to persist with moderate winds of 10–20 km/h. This circulation promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling after sunset, favoring minimums in the low 20s °C, though increased humidity and variable cloud cover could limit drops below 20°C. Historical August lows average 20–21°C, providing context for the clustered trader probabilities around 19–23°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts shows limited spread, but small shifts in wind speed or dew points could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows on August 30 near 18–22°C, driven by a northerly airflow that has already lowered daytime highs midweek and is expected to persist with moderate winds of 10–20 km/h. This circulation promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling after sunset, favoring minimums in the low 20s °C, though increased humidity and variable cloud cover could limit drops below 20°C. Historical August lows average 20–21°C, providing context for the clustered trader probabilities around 19–23°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts shows limited spread, but small shifts in wind speed or dew points could alter the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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