Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Rondônia's October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the state's conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party (PL) candidate as heir to Jair Bolsonaro's regional base. Rondônia favored right-wing positions in prior cycles on issues such as public security, agribusiness interests, and federal oversight, bolstering Flávio's position after his July party nomination and August running-mate selection. National polling shows tighter races overall, yet local sentiment favors continuity of the Bolsonaro-aligned platform. Late developments like shifts in turnout among rural voters, economic messaging from rivals, or unexpected national events could narrow margins, though structural barriers remain significant for challengers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,992 Vol.
$12,992 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Samara
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Lula
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Zema
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,992 Vol.
$12,992 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$7,561 Vol.
97%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$451 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$381 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$491 Vol.
1%
Samara
$461 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$411 Vol.
<1%
Lula
$577 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$430 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$401 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$441 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$471 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$471 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$444 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Rondônia's October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the state's conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party (PL) candidate as heir to Jair Bolsonaro's regional base. Rondônia favored right-wing positions in prior cycles on issues such as public security, agribusiness interests, and federal oversight, bolstering Flávio's position after his July party nomination and August running-mate selection. National polling shows tighter races overall, yet local sentiment favors continuity of the Bolsonaro-aligned platform. Late developments like shifts in turnout among rural voters, economic messaging from rivals, or unexpected national events could narrow margins, though structural barriers remain significant for challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$12,992End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Rondônia's October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the state's conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party (PL) candidate as heir to Jair Bolsonaro's regional base. Rondônia favored right-wing positions in prior cycles on issues such as public security, agribusiness interests, and federal oversight, bolstering Flávio's position after his July party nomination and August running-mate selection. National polling shows tighter races overall, yet local sentiment favors continuity of the Bolsonaro-aligned platform. Late developments like shifts in turnout among rural voters, economic messaging from rivals, or unexpected national events could narrow margins, though structural barriers remain significant for challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,992End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Rondônia's October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the state's conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party (PL) candidate as heir to Jair Bolsonaro's regional base. Rondônia favored right-wing positions in prior cycles on issues such as public security, agribusiness interests, and federal oversight, bolstering Flávio's position after his July party nomination and August running-mate selection. National polling shows tighter races overall, yet local sentiment favors continuity of the Bolsonaro-aligned platform. Late developments like shifts in turnout among rural voters, economic messaging from rivals, or unexpected national events could narrow margins, though structural barriers remain significant for challengers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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