Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, Goiás gubernatorial election. Surveys from June through mid-August show him at 36–46% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) at 21–25% and Wilder Morais (PL) at 11–15%, with approval ratings near 75%. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, and several other parties, combined with stable voter intentions and low rejection rates, underpins trader consensus on his position. A first-round victory or comfortable runoff win remains the prevailing scenario, though shifts in undecided voters (often 20%), campaign events, or turnout changes could narrow margins before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDaniel Vilela 96.6%
Marconi Perillo 1.4%
Wilder Morais 1.3%
Vanderlan Cardoso <1%
$29,252 Vol.
$29,252 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Daniel Vilela
97%
Marconi Perillo
1%
Wilder Morais
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
1%
Adriana Accorsi
<1%
Daniel Vilela 96.6%
Marconi Perillo 1.4%
Wilder Morais 1.3%
Vanderlan Cardoso <1%
$29,252 Vol.
$29,252 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Daniel Vilela
$25,426 Vol.
97%
Marconi Perillo
$820 Vol.
1%
Wilder Morais
$1,037 Vol.
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$1,106 Vol.
1%
Adriana Accorsi
$863 Vol.
<1%
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, Goiás gubernatorial election. Surveys from June through mid-August show him at 36–46% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) at 21–25% and Wilder Morais (PL) at 11–15%, with approval ratings near 75%. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, and several other parties, combined with stable voter intentions and low rejection rates, underpins trader consensus on his position. A first-round victory or comfortable runoff win remains the prevailing scenario, though shifts in undecided voters (often 20%), campaign events, or turnout changes could narrow margins before ballots close.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$29,252End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, Goiás gubernatorial election. Surveys from June through mid-August show him at 36–46% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) at 21–25% and Wilder Morais (PL) at 11–15%, with approval ratings near 75%. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, and several other parties, combined with stable voter intentions and low rejection rates, underpins trader consensus on his position. A first-round victory or comfortable runoff win remains the prevailing scenario, though shifts in undecided voters (often 20%), campaign events, or turnout changes could narrow margins before ballots close.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,252End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, Goiás gubernatorial election. Surveys from June through mid-August show him at 36–46% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) at 21–25% and Wilder Morais (PL) at 11–15%, with approval ratings near 75%. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, and several other parties, combined with stable voter intentions and low rejection rates, underpins trader consensus on his position. A first-round victory or comfortable runoff win remains the prevailing scenario, though shifts in undecided voters (often 20%), campaign events, or turnout changes could narrow margins before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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