Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models converge on an overnight low of 10–12 °C for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and enhance radiative cooling. This range aligns with the station’s recent minima of 7–11 °C and the climatological August average near 10 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that can alter the rate of heat loss from the surface. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 13 °C, 12 °C, and 10 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in final minimum readings at the official observation site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
13°C 65%
11°C 37%
10°C 34%
12°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
28%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
34%
11°C
27%
12°C
34%
13°C
40%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 65%
11°C 37%
10°C 34%
12°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$65 Vol.
28%
8°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
34%
11°C
$5 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$7 Vol.
40%
14°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$293 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models converge on an overnight low of 10–12 °C for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and enhance radiative cooling. This range aligns with the station’s recent minima of 7–11 °C and the climatological August average near 10 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that can alter the rate of heat loss from the surface. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 13 °C, 12 °C, and 10 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in final minimum readings at the official observation site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,207End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models converge on an overnight low of 10–12 °C for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and enhance radiative cooling. This range aligns with the station’s recent minima of 7–11 °C and the climatological August average near 10 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that can alter the rate of heat loss from the surface. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 13 °C, 12 °C, and 10 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in final minimum readings at the official observation site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,207End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models converge on an overnight low of 10–12 °C for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and enhance radiative cooling. This range aligns with the station’s recent minima of 7–11 °C and the climatological August average near 10 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that can alter the rate of heat loss from the surface. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 13 °C, 12 °C, and 10 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in final minimum readings at the official observation site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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