Recent cold fronts tracking across the western Cape have advected cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, elevating trader focus on potential sub-10°C minima for Cape Town on August 24 amid lingering winter conditions. Model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and variable southeasterly winds that can either enhance or suppress surface heat loss depending on strength and timing. Historical August lows average near 10°C, but recent sequences of frontal passages have produced brief dips toward 7°C or below, creating the observed market spread across 7–11°C bins where small forecast revisions in cloud cover or wind could shift resolution. Upcoming model runs from SA Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the exact overnight minimum before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
11°C 37%
7°C or below 33%
10°C 26%
9°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
33%
8°C
10%
9°C
20%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
17%
13°C
16%
14°C
10%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 37%
7°C or below 33%
10°C 26%
9°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$45 Vol.
33%
8°C
$49 Vol.
10%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$5 Vol.
32%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$5 Vol.
10%
15°C
$145 Vol.
7%
16°C
$35 Vol.
5%
17°C or higher
$147 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts tracking across the western Cape have advected cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, elevating trader focus on potential sub-10°C minima for Cape Town on August 24 amid lingering winter conditions. Model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and variable southeasterly winds that can either enhance or suppress surface heat loss depending on strength and timing. Historical August lows average near 10°C, but recent sequences of frontal passages have produced brief dips toward 7°C or below, creating the observed market spread across 7–11°C bins where small forecast revisions in cloud cover or wind could shift resolution. Upcoming model runs from SA Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the exact overnight minimum before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volume
$432End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts tracking across the western Cape have advected cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, elevating trader focus on potential sub-10°C minima for Cape Town on August 24 amid lingering winter conditions. Model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and variable southeasterly winds that can either enhance or suppress surface heat loss depending on strength and timing. Historical August lows average near 10°C, but recent sequences of frontal passages have produced brief dips toward 7°C or below, creating the observed market spread across 7–11°C bins where small forecast revisions in cloud cover or wind could shift resolution. Upcoming model runs from SA Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the exact overnight minimum before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$432End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts tracking across the western Cape have advected cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, elevating trader focus on potential sub-10°C minima for Cape Town on August 24 amid lingering winter conditions. Model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and variable southeasterly winds that can either enhance or suppress surface heat loss depending on strength and timing. Historical August lows average near 10°C, but recent sequences of frontal passages have produced brief dips toward 7°C or below, creating the observed market spread across 7–11°C bins where small forecast revisions in cloud cover or wind could shift resolution. Upcoming model runs from SA Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the exact overnight minimum before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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