Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 28, with hourly guidance showing overnight lows near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus on 16°C and 17°C outcomes reflects model agreement on radiative cooling rates, dew point suppression from drier southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that will moderate but not fully suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Minor divergences between ensemble runs arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers, keeping the two leading outcomes closely balanced while historical August minima near 13°C underscore the influence of this warm, post-frontal regime. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 28?
Lowest temperature in London on August 28?
16°C 42%
17°C 36%
18°C 11%
15°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
10%
16°C
42%
17°C
36%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
17°C 36%
18°C 11%
15°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
$77 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$29 Vol.
1%
13°C
$109 Vol.
5%
14°C
$174 Vol.
5%
15°C
$315 Vol.
10%
16°C
$647 Vol.
42%
17°C
$507 Vol.
36%
18°C
$245 Vol.
11%
19°C
$589 Vol.
4%
20°C
$86 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$101 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 28, with hourly guidance showing overnight lows near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus on 16°C and 17°C outcomes reflects model agreement on radiative cooling rates, dew point suppression from drier southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that will moderate but not fully suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Minor divergences between ensemble runs arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers, keeping the two leading outcomes closely balanced while historical August minima near 13°C underscore the influence of this warm, post-frontal regime. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,878End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 28, with hourly guidance showing overnight lows near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus on 16°C and 17°C outcomes reflects model agreement on radiative cooling rates, dew point suppression from drier southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that will moderate but not fully suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Minor divergences between ensemble runs arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers, keeping the two leading outcomes closely balanced while historical August minima near 13°C underscore the influence of this warm, post-frontal regime. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,878End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 28, with hourly guidance showing overnight lows near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds. Trader consensus on 16°C and 17°C outcomes reflects model agreement on radiative cooling rates, dew point suppression from drier southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that will moderate but not fully suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Minor divergences between ensemble runs arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers, keeping the two leading outcomes closely balanced while historical August minima near 13°C underscore the influence of this warm, post-frontal regime. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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