Recent meteorological model consensus from GFS and ECMWF centers a minimum temperature in Paris near 14–16°C on August 24, reflecting northeasterly flow that advects cooler maritime air alongside increased low-level cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure regime. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (56.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological August lows averaging roughly 14°C while current conditions suppress further drops below 14°C. Updated overnight observations and final daily minima will resolve the market as cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing determine exact cooling rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
16°C 95%
15°C 5%
14°C 2%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 95%
15°C 5%
14°C 2%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
$120 Vol.
1%
12°C
$195 Vol.
1%
13°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,902 Vol.
2%
15°C
$579 Vol.
5%
16°C
$453 Vol.
95%
17°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from GFS and ECMWF centers a minimum temperature in Paris near 14–16°C on August 24, reflecting northeasterly flow that advects cooler maritime air alongside increased low-level cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure regime. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (56.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological August lows averaging roughly 14°C while current conditions suppress further drops below 14°C. Updated overnight observations and final daily minima will resolve the market as cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing determine exact cooling rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,101End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from GFS and ECMWF centers a minimum temperature in Paris near 14–16°C on August 24, reflecting northeasterly flow that advects cooler maritime air alongside increased low-level cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure regime. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (56.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological August lows averaging roughly 14°C while current conditions suppress further drops below 14°C. Updated overnight observations and final daily minima will resolve the market as cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing determine exact cooling rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,101End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from GFS and ECMWF centers a minimum temperature in Paris near 14–16°C on August 24, reflecting northeasterly flow that advects cooler maritime air alongside increased low-level cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure regime. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (56.5%) and 15°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological August lows averaging roughly 14°C while current conditions suppress further drops below 14°C. Updated overnight observations and final daily minima will resolve the market as cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing determine exact cooling rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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