Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Qingdao on August 24 will likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southerly flow of warm, moist maritime air from the Yellow Sea, elevated sea surface temperatures, and high humidity (around 85–95%) that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official and model consensus shows daytime highs near 29–30°C transitioning to overnight minima in the upper 20s, well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions to allow deeper drops. This positioning explains the market’s strong emphasis on 28°C alongside secondary support for 26°C outcomes, while lower thresholds remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
22°C or below 55%
24°C 1%
23°C <1%
30°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
31%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
61%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 55%
24°C 1%
23°C <1%
30°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$129 Vol.
55%
23°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$127 Vol.
1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
31%
26°C
$88 Vol.
34%
27°C
$75 Vol.
32%
28°C
$154 Vol.
61%
29°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Qingdao on August 24 will likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southerly flow of warm, moist maritime air from the Yellow Sea, elevated sea surface temperatures, and high humidity (around 85–95%) that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official and model consensus shows daytime highs near 29–30°C transitioning to overnight minima in the upper 20s, well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions to allow deeper drops. This positioning explains the market’s strong emphasis on 28°C alongside secondary support for 26°C outcomes, while lower thresholds remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,854End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Qingdao on August 24 will likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southerly flow of warm, moist maritime air from the Yellow Sea, elevated sea surface temperatures, and high humidity (around 85–95%) that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official and model consensus shows daytime highs near 29–30°C transitioning to overnight minima in the upper 20s, well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions to allow deeper drops. This positioning explains the market’s strong emphasis on 28°C alongside secondary support for 26°C outcomes, while lower thresholds remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,854End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Qingdao on August 24 will likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southerly flow of warm, moist maritime air from the Yellow Sea, elevated sea surface temperatures, and high humidity (around 85–95%) that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official and model consensus shows daytime highs near 29–30°C transitioning to overnight minima in the upper 20s, well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions to allow deeper drops. This positioning explains the market’s strong emphasis on 28°C alongside secondary support for 26°C outcomes, while lower thresholds remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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