Forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C on August 24, with high uncertainty in exact radiative cooling driven by variable cloud cover, humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and possible thundershowers. Coastal sea breezes and southeasterly flow can limit nighttime temperature drops, while clearer intervals would enhance cooling toward the 22°C or lower range. Broader El Niño conditions support above-average warmth across eastern China, yet short-term model spreads on precipitation timing create closely matched market-implied odds around the 25–27°C thresholds. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
22°C or below 55%
27°C 37%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
19%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 55%
27°C 37%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$124 Vol.
55%
23°C
$150 Vol.
1%
24°C
$110 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$18 Vol.
20%
27°C
$5 Vol.
28%
28°C
$15 Vol.
19%
29°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C on August 24, with high uncertainty in exact radiative cooling driven by variable cloud cover, humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and possible thundershowers. Coastal sea breezes and southeasterly flow can limit nighttime temperature drops, while clearer intervals would enhance cooling toward the 22°C or lower range. Broader El Niño conditions support above-average warmth across eastern China, yet short-term model spreads on precipitation timing create closely matched market-implied odds around the 25–27°C thresholds. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$965End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C on August 24, with high uncertainty in exact radiative cooling driven by variable cloud cover, humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and possible thundershowers. Coastal sea breezes and southeasterly flow can limit nighttime temperature drops, while clearer intervals would enhance cooling toward the 22°C or lower range. Broader El Niño conditions support above-average warmth across eastern China, yet short-term model spreads on precipitation timing create closely matched market-implied odds around the 25–27°C thresholds. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$965End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C on August 24, with high uncertainty in exact radiative cooling driven by variable cloud cover, humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and possible thundershowers. Coastal sea breezes and southeasterly flow can limit nighttime temperature drops, while clearer intervals would enhance cooling toward the 22°C or lower range. Broader El Niño conditions support above-average warmth across eastern China, yet short-term model spreads on precipitation timing create closely matched market-implied odds around the 25–27°C thresholds. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24 hours will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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