**Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and ECMWF, combined with official guidance from China’s National Meteorological Center, indicate a daily maximum near 29°C for Qingdao on August 24 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light rain chances that limit daytime heating.** Persistent rainfall over the prior 48 hours has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages (typically 29–30°C in mid-August), keeping surface conditions moist and favoring modest warming only if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader consensus prices 32–33°C highest, reflecting residual uncertainty in local boundary-layer effects, urban heat island contributions at official stations, and potential model underestimation of insolation once clouds break. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any revised CMA nowcasts will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
32°C 54%
33°C 27%
31°C 16%
34°C or higher 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
54%
33°C
27%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 54%
33°C 27%
31°C 16%
34°C or higher 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$76 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$425 Vol.
2%
30°C
$516 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,419 Vol.
16%
32°C
$2,281 Vol.
54%
33°C
$1,485 Vol.
27%
34°C or higher
$531 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and ECMWF, combined with official guidance from China’s National Meteorological Center, indicate a daily maximum near 29°C for Qingdao on August 24 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light rain chances that limit daytime heating.**
Persistent rainfall over the prior 48 hours has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages (typically 29–30°C in mid-August), keeping surface conditions moist and favoring modest warming only if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader consensus prices 32–33°C highest, reflecting residual uncertainty in local boundary-layer effects, urban heat island contributions at official stations, and potential model underestimation of insolation once clouds break. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any revised CMA nowcasts will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,287End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and ECMWF, combined with official guidance from China’s National Meteorological Center, indicate a daily maximum near 29°C for Qingdao on August 24 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light rain chances that limit daytime heating.**
Persistent rainfall over the prior 48 hours has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages (typically 29–30°C in mid-August), keeping surface conditions moist and favoring modest warming only if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader consensus prices 32–33°C highest, reflecting residual uncertainty in local boundary-layer effects, urban heat island contributions at official stations, and potential model underestimation of insolation once clouds break. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any revised CMA nowcasts will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,287End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and ECMWF, combined with official guidance from China’s National Meteorological Center, indicate a daily maximum near 29°C for Qingdao on August 24 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light rain chances that limit daytime heating.** Persistent rainfall over the prior 48 hours has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages (typically 29–30°C in mid-August), keeping surface conditions moist and favoring modest warming only if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader consensus prices 32–33°C highest, reflecting residual uncertainty in local boundary-layer effects, urban heat island contributions at official stations, and potential model underestimation of insolation once clouds break. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any revised CMA nowcasts will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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