Arthur Henrique holds a commanding position in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive 60.87% victory in the June 2026 supplementary election, combined with his record as a two-term mayor of Boa Vista re-elected in the first round with over 75% support. Party conventions have formalized his Liberal Party (PL) candidacy for the October 4 first-round vote, backed by strong name recognition and prior administrative experience that polls have consistently shown as a leading factor. Remaining uncertainty centers on the pending judicial review of his eligibility from the supplementary contest, which could trigger new developments or alternative candidacies. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Rosi Aires, and Farah Mesquita, trail significantly in early positioning, though shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics before October could still influence final outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArthur Henrique 90%
Soldado Sampaio 5.1%
Rosi Aires 3.6%
Farah Mesquita 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
90%
Soldado Sampaio
5%
Rosi Aires
4%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 90%
Soldado Sampaio 5.1%
Rosi Aires 3.6%
Farah Mesquita 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$2,927 Vol.
90%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
5%
Rosi Aires
$222 Vol.
4%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Clébio Genuíno
$281 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique holds a commanding position in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive 60.87% victory in the June 2026 supplementary election, combined with his record as a two-term mayor of Boa Vista re-elected in the first round with over 75% support. Party conventions have formalized his Liberal Party (PL) candidacy for the October 4 first-round vote, backed by strong name recognition and prior administrative experience that polls have consistently shown as a leading factor. Remaining uncertainty centers on the pending judicial review of his eligibility from the supplementary contest, which could trigger new developments or alternative candidacies. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Rosi Aires, and Farah Mesquita, trail significantly in early positioning, though shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics before October could still influence final outcomes.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$3,766End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique holds a commanding position in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive 60.87% victory in the June 2026 supplementary election, combined with his record as a two-term mayor of Boa Vista re-elected in the first round with over 75% support. Party conventions have formalized his Liberal Party (PL) candidacy for the October 4 first-round vote, backed by strong name recognition and prior administrative experience that polls have consistently shown as a leading factor. Remaining uncertainty centers on the pending judicial review of his eligibility from the supplementary contest, which could trigger new developments or alternative candidacies. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Rosi Aires, and Farah Mesquita, trail significantly in early positioning, though shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics before October could still influence final outcomes.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,766End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique holds a commanding position in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive 60.87% victory in the June 2026 supplementary election, combined with his record as a two-term mayor of Boa Vista re-elected in the first round with over 75% support. Party conventions have formalized his Liberal Party (PL) candidacy for the October 4 first-round vote, backed by strong name recognition and prior administrative experience that polls have consistently shown as a leading factor. Remaining uncertainty centers on the pending judicial review of his eligibility from the supplementary contest, which could trigger new developments or alternative candidacies. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Rosi Aires, and Farah Mesquita, trail significantly in early positioning, though shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics before October could still influence final outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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