Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima's 2026 Senate election, reflecting her established local profile as a five-term former mayor of Boa Vista and the MDB's formal convention confirmation of her candidacy in early August. Multiple recent polls have shown her leading or tied among declared contenders for the two seats, supported by her prior statewide runs and asset declarations signaling campaign readiness. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), backed by the Bolsonaro family network and entering as a late-arriving challenger, trails in trader pricing amid a crowded field of 13 candidates that includes incumbents and lesser-known names. The race's timing two months before the October vote, combined with ongoing endorsements and name recognition advantages, shapes the current implied probabilities among active traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 67%
Helio Bolsonaro 29%
Nicoletti 3.2%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$14,785 Vol.
$14,785 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
67%
Helio Bolsonaro
29%
Nicoletti
3%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Helena da Asatur
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 67%
Helio Bolsonaro 29%
Nicoletti 3.2%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$14,785 Vol.
$14,785 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$6,096 Vol.
67%
Helio Bolsonaro
$2,243 Vol.
29%
Nicoletti
$2,552 Vol.
3%
Rogério Miranda
$520 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$354 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$340 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$339 Vol.
1%
Helena da Asatur
$363 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$412 Vol.
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
$385 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$404 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$393 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$384 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima's 2026 Senate election, reflecting her established local profile as a five-term former mayor of Boa Vista and the MDB's formal convention confirmation of her candidacy in early August. Multiple recent polls have shown her leading or tied among declared contenders for the two seats, supported by her prior statewide runs and asset declarations signaling campaign readiness. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), backed by the Bolsonaro family network and entering as a late-arriving challenger, trails in trader pricing amid a crowded field of 13 candidates that includes incumbents and lesser-known names. The race's timing two months before the October vote, combined with ongoing endorsements and name recognition advantages, shapes the current implied probabilities among active traders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,785End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima's 2026 Senate election, reflecting her established local profile as a five-term former mayor of Boa Vista and the MDB's formal convention confirmation of her candidacy in early August. Multiple recent polls have shown her leading or tied among declared contenders for the two seats, supported by her prior statewide runs and asset declarations signaling campaign readiness. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), backed by the Bolsonaro family network and entering as a late-arriving challenger, trails in trader pricing amid a crowded field of 13 candidates that includes incumbents and lesser-known names. The race's timing two months before the October vote, combined with ongoing endorsements and name recognition advantages, shapes the current implied probabilities among active traders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,785End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima's 2026 Senate election, reflecting her established local profile as a five-term former mayor of Boa Vista and the MDB's formal convention confirmation of her candidacy in early August. Multiple recent polls have shown her leading or tied among declared contenders for the two seats, supported by her prior statewide runs and asset declarations signaling campaign readiness. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), backed by the Bolsonaro family network and entering as a late-arriving challenger, trails in trader pricing amid a crowded field of 13 candidates that includes incumbents and lesser-known names. The race's timing two months before the October vote, combined with ongoing endorsements and name recognition advantages, shapes the current implied probabilities among active traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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