The race for second place in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election stays tightly contested among a fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates vying for the state's two seats. Trader consensus assigns Rogerio Carvalho the narrowest lead, followed by André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, and Eduardo Amorim, with the remainder split across lower-probability options and reflecting dispersed support in recent polling. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position, as party alignments, regional voting patterns, and undecided voters keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 ballot. Campaign developments such as televised debates, major endorsements, or late shifts in polling averages could consolidate preferences and widen gaps before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRogerio Carvalho 24%
André Moura 18%
Eduardo Amorim 16%
Delegado Alessandro 13.6%
$15,180 Vol.
$15,180 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho
24%

André Moura
18%

Eduardo Amorim
16%

Delegado Alessandro
14%

Delegado André David
10%

Rodrigo Valadares
6%

Renatinha
1%

Coronel Rocha
1%

Edvaldo
1%

Iran Barbosa
<1%

Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
André Moura 18%
Eduardo Amorim 16%
Delegado Alessandro 13.6%
$15,180 Vol.
$15,180 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho
24%

André Moura
18%

Eduardo Amorim
16%

Delegado Alessandro
14%

Delegado André David
10%

Rodrigo Valadares
6%

Renatinha
1%

Coronel Rocha
1%

Edvaldo
1%

Iran Barbosa
<1%

Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election stays tightly contested among a fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates vying for the state's two seats. Trader consensus assigns Rogerio Carvalho the narrowest lead, followed by André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, and Eduardo Amorim, with the remainder split across lower-probability options and reflecting dispersed support in recent polling. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position, as party alignments, regional voting patterns, and undecided voters keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 ballot. Campaign developments such as televised debates, major endorsements, or late shifts in polling averages could consolidate preferences and widen gaps before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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