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icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place

Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place

Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

André Moura 18%

Eduardo Amorim 16%

Delegado Alessandro 13.6%

Polymarket

$15,180 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

André Moura 18%

Eduardo Amorim 16%

Delegado Alessandro 13.6%

Polymarket

$15,180 Vol.

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$4,138 Vol.

24%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$1,740 Vol.

18%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$1,598 Vol.

16%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$1,225 Vol.

14%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$1,490 Vol.

10%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$1,118 Vol.

6%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$407 Vol.

1%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$685 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election stays tightly contested among a fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates vying for the state's two seats. Trader consensus assigns Rogerio Carvalho the narrowest lead, followed by André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, and Eduardo Amorim, with the remainder split across lower-probability options and reflecting dispersed support in recent polling. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position, as party alignments, regional voting patterns, and undecided voters keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 ballot. Campaign developments such as televised debates, major endorsements, or late shifts in polling averages could consolidate preferences and widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,180
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election stays tightly contested among a fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates vying for the state's two seats. Trader consensus assigns Rogerio Carvalho the narrowest lead, followed by André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, and Eduardo Amorim, with the remainder split across lower-probability options and reflecting dispersed support in recent polling. No single contender has consolidated a commanding position, as party alignments, regional voting patterns, and undecided voters keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 ballot. Campaign developments such as televised debates, major endorsements, or late shifts in polling averages could consolidate preferences and widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,180
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rogerio Carvalho" at 24%, followed by "André Moura" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Rogerio Carvalho" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "André Moura" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.