Recent AtlasIntel polling shows incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) and challenger Senator Alan Rick (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the October 4, 2026 Acre gubernatorial race, with both candidates drawing support from overlapping bolsonarista networks and broad party coalitions. Brazil’s two-round system makes a runoff between these frontrunners highly probable, compressing the field and sustaining tight trader pricing around 54.5% for Rick versus 41.5% for Assis. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout shifts, late endorsements, or campaign events before the first-round vote. Trader consensus assigns Rick a modest edge consistent with some internal polling leads, yet the margin remains narrow given historical volatility in state executive contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 55%
Mailza Assis 42%
Eudo Raffael <1%
Tião Bocalom <1%
$15,622 Vol.
$15,622 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
55%
Mailza Assis
42%
Eudo Raffael
1%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Alan Rick 55%
Mailza Assis 42%
Eudo Raffael <1%
Tião Bocalom <1%
$15,622 Vol.
$15,622 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$10,706 Vol.
55%
Mailza Assis
$4,053 Vol.
42%
Eudo Raffael
$283 Vol.
1%
Tião Bocalom
$133 Vol.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$169 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$278 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) and challenger Senator Alan Rick (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the October 4, 2026 Acre gubernatorial race, with both candidates drawing support from overlapping bolsonarista networks and broad party coalitions. Brazil’s two-round system makes a runoff between these frontrunners highly probable, compressing the field and sustaining tight trader pricing around 54.5% for Rick versus 41.5% for Assis. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout shifts, late endorsements, or campaign events before the first-round vote. Trader consensus assigns Rick a modest edge consistent with some internal polling leads, yet the margin remains narrow given historical volatility in state executive contests.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$15,622End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) and challenger Senator Alan Rick (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the October 4, 2026 Acre gubernatorial race, with both candidates drawing support from overlapping bolsonarista networks and broad party coalitions. Brazil’s two-round system makes a runoff between these frontrunners highly probable, compressing the field and sustaining tight trader pricing around 54.5% for Rick versus 41.5% for Assis. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout shifts, late endorsements, or campaign events before the first-round vote. Trader consensus assigns Rick a modest edge consistent with some internal polling leads, yet the margin remains narrow given historical volatility in state executive contests.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,622End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel polling shows incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) and challenger Senator Alan Rick (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the October 4, 2026 Acre gubernatorial race, with both candidates drawing support from overlapping bolsonarista networks and broad party coalitions. Brazil’s two-round system makes a runoff between these frontrunners highly probable, compressing the field and sustaining tight trader pricing around 54.5% for Rick versus 41.5% for Assis. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout shifts, late endorsements, or campaign events before the first-round vote. Trader consensus assigns Rick a modest edge consistent with some internal polling leads, yet the margin remains narrow given historical volatility in state executive contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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