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icon for Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

Mara Rocha 50%

Marcio Bittar 22.3%

Gladson Camelí 16%

Jorge Viana 10.3%

Polymarket

$16,823 Vol.

Mara Rocha 50%

Marcio Bittar 22.3%

Gladson Camelí 16%

Jorge Viana 10.3%

Polymarket

$16,823 Vol.

icon for Mara Rocha

Mara Rocha

$7,313 Vol.

50%

icon for Marcio Bittar

Marcio Bittar

$1,690 Vol.

22%

icon for Gladson Camelí

Gladson Camelí

$4,897 Vol.

16%

icon for Jorge Viana

Jorge Viana

$515 Vol.

10%

icon for Petecão

Petecão

$1,327 Vol.

4%

icon for Dr. Junior Feitosa

Dr. Junior Feitosa

$416 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Inacio Moreira

Professor Inacio Moreira

$328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Velloso

Eduardo Velloso

$336 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July shows Gladson Cameli (PP) leading Senate intentions in Acre, with Márcio Bittar (PL), Jorge Viana (PT), and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) clustered closely behind for the second of two seats elected October 4. Traders price Rocha highest for second place, reflecting her consistent fourth-place standing in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios and alliances with Republicanos gubernatorial contender Alan Rick. Bittar and Viana follow, buoyed by incumbency and prior executive experience, while lower-priced names like Petecão and Velloso trail amid limited momentum. Asset declarations filed in August and ongoing judicial questions around Cameli have not yet shifted positioning. The contest remains fluid because voters select two senators, keeping second-place outcomes sensitive to turnout, late alliances, and any fresh surveys before the single-round vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,823
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July shows Gladson Cameli (PP) leading Senate intentions in Acre, with Márcio Bittar (PL), Jorge Viana (PT), and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) clustered closely behind for the second of two seats elected October 4. Traders price Rocha highest for second place, reflecting her consistent fourth-place standing in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios and alliances with Republicanos gubernatorial contender Alan Rick. Bittar and Viana follow, buoyed by incumbency and prior executive experience, while lower-priced names like Petecão and Velloso trail amid limited momentum. Asset declarations filed in August and ongoing judicial questions around Cameli have not yet shifted positioning. The contest remains fluid because voters select two senators, keeping second-place outcomes sensitive to turnout, late alliances, and any fresh surveys before the single-round vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,823
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mara Rocha" at 50%, followed by "Marcio Bittar" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Mara Rocha" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcio Bittar" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.