Both Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), the two incumbents seeking re-election to Amapá’s Senate seats on October 4, 2026, remain the closest contenders for second place according to current trader consensus. Recent party conventions have formally launched their campaigns, while polling shows fluctuating first-place leads for challengers such as Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) and varying rejection levels that keep the second slot contested. Limited recent shifts in alliances or voter surveys have prevented either incumbent from pulling ahead decisively, with lower-polling candidates including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho failing to gain meaningful traction. Upcoming debates, alliance negotiations, and further surveys before election day could widen or narrow the gap between the frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Lucas Barreto 39%
Randolfe 35%
Capi 6.8%
Alliny Serrão 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Barreto
39%
Randolfe
41%
Capi
7%
Alliny Serrão
6%
Juíza Jô
5%
Professor Uzian Pinto
5%
Acácio Favacho
3%
Rayssa Furlan
3%
Helio Silva
2%
Lucas Barreto 39%
Randolfe 35%
Capi 6.8%
Alliny Serrão 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Barreto
$295 Vol.
39%
Randolfe
$6,024 Vol.
41%
Capi
$152 Vol.
7%
Alliny Serrão
$221 Vol.
6%
Juíza Jô
$90 Vol.
5%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$413 Vol.
5%
Acácio Favacho
$426 Vol.
3%
Rayssa Furlan
$90 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$1,740 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Both Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), the two incumbents seeking re-election to Amapá’s Senate seats on October 4, 2026, remain the closest contenders for second place according to current trader consensus. Recent party conventions have formally launched their campaigns, while polling shows fluctuating first-place leads for challengers such as Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) and varying rejection levels that keep the second slot contested. Limited recent shifts in alliances or voter surveys have prevented either incumbent from pulling ahead decisively, with lower-polling candidates including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho failing to gain meaningful traction. Upcoming debates, alliance negotiations, and further surveys before election day could widen or narrow the gap between the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$9,451End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Both Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), the two incumbents seeking re-election to Amapá’s Senate seats on October 4, 2026, remain the closest contenders for second place according to current trader consensus. Recent party conventions have formally launched their campaigns, while polling shows fluctuating first-place leads for challengers such as Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) and varying rejection levels that keep the second slot contested. Limited recent shifts in alliances or voter surveys have prevented either incumbent from pulling ahead decisively, with lower-polling candidates including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho failing to gain meaningful traction. Upcoming debates, alliance negotiations, and further surveys before election day could widen or narrow the gap between the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,451End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Both Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), the two incumbents seeking re-election to Amapá’s Senate seats on October 4, 2026, remain the closest contenders for second place according to current trader consensus. Recent party conventions have formally launched their campaigns, while polling shows fluctuating first-place leads for challengers such as Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) and varying rejection levels that keep the second slot contested. Limited recent shifts in alliances or voter surveys have prevented either incumbent from pulling ahead decisively, with lower-polling candidates including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho failing to gain meaningful traction. Upcoming debates, alliance negotiations, and further surveys before election day could widen or narrow the gap between the frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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