Recent polling from August 2026 shows Eduardo Braga holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the second place contest between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) as the primary focus for traders. Neto maintains a modest edge in statewide averages, bolstered by stronger support in Manaus, while Lima competes closely through interior strength; both trail Braga substantially but remain well ahead of Plínio Valério and minor candidates. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with no major shifts since then, and the October 4 election timeline keeps regional turnout patterns and late-campaign momentum as key variables that could separate the contenders in this tight implied-probability market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 39%
Eduardo Braga 6%
Dailson Corrêa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
47%
Wilson Lima
39%
Eduardo Braga
6%
Dailson Corrêa
1%
Ismael Munduruku
1%
Plinio Valério
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 39%
Eduardo Braga 6%
Dailson Corrêa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$2,060 Vol.
47%
Wilson Lima
$1,333 Vol.
39%
Eduardo Braga
$1,067 Vol.
6%
Dailson Corrêa
$379 Vol.
1%
Ismael Munduruku
$354 Vol.
1%
Plinio Valério
$333 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$381 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$626 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$647 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August 2026 shows Eduardo Braga holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the second place contest between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) as the primary focus for traders. Neto maintains a modest edge in statewide averages, bolstered by stronger support in Manaus, while Lima competes closely through interior strength; both trail Braga substantially but remain well ahead of Plínio Valério and minor candidates. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with no major shifts since then, and the October 4 election timeline keeps regional turnout patterns and late-campaign momentum as key variables that could separate the contenders in this tight implied-probability market.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$7,179End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August 2026 shows Eduardo Braga holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the second place contest between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) as the primary focus for traders. Neto maintains a modest edge in statewide averages, bolstered by stronger support in Manaus, while Lima competes closely through interior strength; both trail Braga substantially but remain well ahead of Plínio Valério and minor candidates. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with no major shifts since then, and the October 4 election timeline keeps regional turnout patterns and late-campaign momentum as key variables that could separate the contenders in this tight implied-probability market.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,179End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from August 2026 shows Eduardo Braga holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the second place contest between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) as the primary focus for traders. Neto maintains a modest edge in statewide averages, bolstered by stronger support in Manaus, while Lima competes closely through interior strength; both trail Braga substantially but remain well ahead of Plínio Valério and minor candidates. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with no major shifts since then, and the October 4 election timeline keeps regional turnout patterns and late-campaign momentum as key variables that could separate the contenders in this tight implied-probability market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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