Flávio Bolsonaro holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round vote due to the state’s entrenched support for Bolsonarism, reflected in his father Jair Bolsonaro’s dominant 2022 performance there. As the Liberal Party nominee carrying the family banner with Jair’s endorsement, Flávio benefits from consistent right-wing voter loyalty in the Amazon region, where concerns over security, agribusiness, and federal policies align with PL messaging ahead of the October 4 contest. Recent campaign formalization and family reconciliation have reinforced this positioning without notable local disruptions. Realistic challenges include a late surge by another opposition figure consolidating anti-Lula votes elsewhere or unexpected shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, though historical patterns and limited competing momentum in Acre make such reversals improbable before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 97.3%
Lula 8.5%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
9%
Clariana Barao
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.3%
Lula 8.5%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,145 Vol.
97%
Lula
$215 Vol.
9%
Clariana Barao
$223 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$284 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$270 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$223 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$243 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$223 Vol.
1%
Samara
$270 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$278 Vol.
1%
Zema
$270 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$297 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$281 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round vote due to the state’s entrenched support for Bolsonarism, reflected in his father Jair Bolsonaro’s dominant 2022 performance there. As the Liberal Party nominee carrying the family banner with Jair’s endorsement, Flávio benefits from consistent right-wing voter loyalty in the Amazon region, where concerns over security, agribusiness, and federal policies align with PL messaging ahead of the October 4 contest. Recent campaign formalization and family reconciliation have reinforced this positioning without notable local disruptions.
Realistic challenges include a late surge by another opposition figure consolidating anti-Lula votes elsewhere or unexpected shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, though historical patterns and limited competing momentum in Acre make such reversals improbable before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,218End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round vote due to the state’s entrenched support for Bolsonarism, reflected in his father Jair Bolsonaro’s dominant 2022 performance there. As the Liberal Party nominee carrying the family banner with Jair’s endorsement, Flávio benefits from consistent right-wing voter loyalty in the Amazon region, where concerns over security, agribusiness, and federal policies align with PL messaging ahead of the October 4 contest. Recent campaign formalization and family reconciliation have reinforced this positioning without notable local disruptions.
Realistic challenges include a late surge by another opposition figure consolidating anti-Lula votes elsewhere or unexpected shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, though historical patterns and limited competing momentum in Acre make such reversals improbable before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$7,218End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round vote due to the state’s entrenched support for Bolsonarism, reflected in his father Jair Bolsonaro’s dominant 2022 performance there. As the Liberal Party nominee carrying the family banner with Jair’s endorsement, Flávio benefits from consistent right-wing voter loyalty in the Amazon region, where concerns over security, agribusiness, and federal policies align with PL messaging ahead of the October 4 contest. Recent campaign formalization and family reconciliation have reinforced this positioning without notable local disruptions. Realistic challenges include a late surge by another opposition figure consolidating anti-Lula votes elsewhere or unexpected shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, though historical patterns and limited competing momentum in Acre make such reversals improbable before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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