Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. Official observations show overnight lows near 7–8°C with gradual daytime recovery to 10–11°C by early afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for late August but cooler than seasonal averages. Model consensus supports a modest peak near 13°C if afternoon insolation increases slightly, explaining the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome versus 25% for 14°C. No significant frontal systems or warm advection are expected before evening, keeping probabilities for extremes below 4%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 55%
14°C 25%
12°C 18%
15°C 3%
NEW
$11,083 Vol.
NEW
$11,083 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
18%
13°C
55%
14°C
25%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 55%
14°C 25%
12°C 18%
15°C 3%
NEW
$11,083 Vol.
NEW
$11,083 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$598 Vol.
2%
12°C
$2,150 Vol.
18%
13°C
$1,437 Vol.
55%
14°C
$2,658 Vol.
25%
15°C
$2,608 Vol.
3%
16°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. Official observations show overnight lows near 7–8°C with gradual daytime recovery to 10–11°C by early afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for late August but cooler than seasonal averages. Model consensus supports a modest peak near 13°C if afternoon insolation increases slightly, explaining the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome versus 25% for 14°C. No significant frontal systems or warm advection are expected before evening, keeping probabilities for extremes below 4%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$11,083End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. Official observations show overnight lows near 7–8°C with gradual daytime recovery to 10–11°C by early afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for late August but cooler than seasonal averages. Model consensus supports a modest peak near 13°C if afternoon insolation increases slightly, explaining the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome versus 25% for 14°C. No significant frontal systems or warm advection are expected before evening, keeping probabilities for extremes below 4%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,083End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. Official observations show overnight lows near 7–8°C with gradual daytime recovery to 10–11°C by early afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for late August but cooler than seasonal averages. Model consensus supports a modest peak near 13°C if afternoon insolation increases slightly, explaining the 55% market-implied probability for that outcome versus 25% for 14°C. No significant frontal systems or warm advection are expected before evening, keeping probabilities for extremes below 4%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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