Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models such as GFS indicate a stable high-pressure system with easterly flow will deliver mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Buenos Aires on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 13 °C (48.5 %) and 12 °C (24.5 %), reflecting limited model spread and typical late-winter climatology where highs average around 13 °C. August 2026 temperatures have run slightly below normal so far, yet no major cold-air outbreak or warm advection is expected to shift the range materially before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders are therefore weighting the tight cluster of model guidance over historical variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 49%
12°C 25%
14°C 22%
15°C 5%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
22%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
12°C 25%
14°C 22%
15°C 5%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
22%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models such as GFS indicate a stable high-pressure system with easterly flow will deliver mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Buenos Aires on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 13 °C (48.5 %) and 12 °C (24.5 %), reflecting limited model spread and typical late-winter climatology where highs average around 13 °C. August 2026 temperatures have run slightly below normal so far, yet no major cold-air outbreak or warm advection is expected to shift the range materially before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders are therefore weighting the tight cluster of model guidance over historical variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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