Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on August 23 in a narrow band near 12–13°C, reflecting the closely matched market odds. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, including a stable high-pressure system and light northerly flow, limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest wind speeds introduce small uncertainties in peak readings. Official models show minor spreads tied to boundary-layer mixing and surface observations, with historical August averages around 16°C underscoring this day's cooler anomaly. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will refine the exact maximum before evening, directly influencing resolution between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
13°C 51%
12°C 45%
14°C 3.0%
15°C <1%
$14,524 Vol.
$14,524 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
45%
13°C
51%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 51%
12°C 45%
14°C 3.0%
15°C <1%
$14,524 Vol.
$14,524 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
45%
13°C
51%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on August 23 in a narrow band near 12–13°C, reflecting the closely matched market odds. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, including a stable high-pressure system and light northerly flow, limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest wind speeds introduce small uncertainties in peak readings. Official models show minor spreads tied to boundary-layer mixing and surface observations, with historical August averages around 16°C underscoring this day's cooler anomaly. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will refine the exact maximum before evening, directly influencing resolution between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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