**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, project a minimum temperature near 0°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, during the Southern Hemisphere winter.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability on 0°C as the day's lowest reading. Recent observations show daytime highs around 11–13°C under partly cloudy to clear skies, with overnight radiative cooling under high pressure (around 1026–1028 hPa) and light winds allowing temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. Model consensus points to lows stabilizing near or at the freezing mark by early morning, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where minima frequently approach 0–5°C. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover reducing overnight cooling, potentially keeping the low at 1–2°C, or an unexpected cold advection pushing readings to -1°C or below. Updated official station data from SMN or equivalent monitoring will confirm the precise minimum, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus already pricing in high confidence based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
0°C 99.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
1°C <1%
$5,076 Vol.
$5,076 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
-2°C or below
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
99%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
0°C 99.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
1°C <1%
$5,076 Vol.
$5,076 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
-2°C or below
$339 Vol.
1%
-1°C
$329 Vol.
1%
0°C
$524 Vol.
99%
1°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
8°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, project a minimum temperature near 0°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, during the Southern Hemisphere winter.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability on 0°C as the day's lowest reading. Recent observations show daytime highs around 11–13°C under partly cloudy to clear skies, with overnight radiative cooling under high pressure (around 1026–1028 hPa) and light winds allowing temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. Model consensus points to lows stabilizing near or at the freezing mark by early morning, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where minima frequently approach 0–5°C.
Scenarios that could shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover reducing overnight cooling, potentially keeping the low at 1–2°C, or an unexpected cold advection pushing readings to -1°C or below. Updated official station data from SMN or equivalent monitoring will confirm the precise minimum, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus already pricing in high confidence based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,076End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, project a minimum temperature near 0°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, during the Southern Hemisphere winter.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability on 0°C as the day's lowest reading. Recent observations show daytime highs around 11–13°C under partly cloudy to clear skies, with overnight radiative cooling under high pressure (around 1026–1028 hPa) and light winds allowing temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. Model consensus points to lows stabilizing near or at the freezing mark by early morning, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where minima frequently approach 0–5°C.
Scenarios that could shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover reducing overnight cooling, potentially keeping the low at 1–2°C, or an unexpected cold advection pushing readings to -1°C or below. Updated official station data from SMN or equivalent monitoring will confirm the precise minimum, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus already pricing in high confidence based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,076End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, project a minimum temperature near 0°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, during the Southern Hemisphere winter.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability on 0°C as the day's lowest reading. Recent observations show daytime highs around 11–13°C under partly cloudy to clear skies, with overnight radiative cooling under high pressure (around 1026–1028 hPa) and light winds allowing temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. Model consensus points to lows stabilizing near or at the freezing mark by early morning, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where minima frequently approach 0–5°C. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover reducing overnight cooling, potentially keeping the low at 1–2°C, or an unexpected cold advection pushing readings to -1°C or below. Updated official station data from SMN or equivalent monitoring will confirm the precise minimum, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus already pricing in high confidence based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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