Recent model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, ECMWF, and GFS places Buenos Aires’ August 25 maximum near 14–15°C, reflecting gradual recovery from a recent polar air outbreak that suppressed prior highs. Light northeasterly winds, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime insolation under late-winter conditions support this range, while residual cold advection and potential for increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak at 14°C or allow a brief push to 16°C. Historical August averages near 16–17°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors the closely matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes now leading trader-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 25th will refine the exact high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
15°C 42%
14°C 38%
16°C 12%
13°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
9%
14°C
38%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 42%
14°C 38%
16°C 12%
13°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$605 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$158 Vol.
3%
13°C
$207 Vol.
9%
14°C
$617 Vol.
38%
15°C
$153 Vol.
42%
16°C
$105 Vol.
12%
17°C
$80 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, ECMWF, and GFS places Buenos Aires’ August 25 maximum near 14–15°C, reflecting gradual recovery from a recent polar air outbreak that suppressed prior highs. Light northeasterly winds, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime insolation under late-winter conditions support this range, while residual cold advection and potential for increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak at 14°C or allow a brief push to 16°C. Historical August averages near 16–17°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors the closely matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes now leading trader-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 25th will refine the exact high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$2,090End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, ECMWF, and GFS places Buenos Aires’ August 25 maximum near 14–15°C, reflecting gradual recovery from a recent polar air outbreak that suppressed prior highs. Light northeasterly winds, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime insolation under late-winter conditions support this range, while residual cold advection and potential for increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak at 14°C or allow a brief push to 16°C. Historical August averages near 16–17°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors the closely matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes now leading trader-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 25th will refine the exact high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,090End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, ECMWF, and GFS places Buenos Aires’ August 25 maximum near 14–15°C, reflecting gradual recovery from a recent polar air outbreak that suppressed prior highs. Light northeasterly winds, mostly clear skies, and modest daytime insolation under late-winter conditions support this range, while residual cold advection and potential for increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak at 14°C or allow a brief push to 16°C. Historical August averages near 16–17°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors the closely matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes now leading trader-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 25th will refine the exact high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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