**Strong model consensus from the National Weather Service and private forecasters points to a peak near 108°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and very low humidity, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 106–107°F (54.5%) and 104–105°F (26.5%).** This reflects an intense late-August heat wave that has already produced multiple days above 105°F, well above the 1991–2020 normal high of 95.5°F. With an Extreme Heat Warning in effect and minimal cloud cover or moisture expected during peak heating hours, temperatures are likely to approach but not clearly exceed the 107°F date record set in 2023 and 2011. The modest 11.5% on 108–109°F captures residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact wind speeds, while lower bins remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
106-107°F 55%
104-105°F 27%
108-109°F 12%
102-103°F 4%
NEW
$11,576 Vol.
NEW
$11,576 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
99°F or below
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
55%
108-109°F
12%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 55%
104-105°F 27%
108-109°F 12%
102-103°F 4%
NEW
$11,576 Vol.
NEW
$11,576 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
99°F or below
$886 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,239 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$1,873 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$1,497 Vol.
27%
106-107°F
$2,361 Vol.
55%
108-109°F
$793 Vol.
12%
110-111°F
$1,498 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$658 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$212 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$334 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from the National Weather Service and private forecasters points to a peak near 108°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and very low humidity, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 106–107°F (54.5%) and 104–105°F (26.5%).**
This reflects an intense late-August heat wave that has already produced multiple days above 105°F, well above the 1991–2020 normal high of 95.5°F. With an Extreme Heat Warning in effect and minimal cloud cover or moisture expected during peak heating hours, temperatures are likely to approach but not clearly exceed the 107°F date record set in 2023 and 2011. The modest 11.5% on 108–109°F captures residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact wind speeds, while lower bins remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,576End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from the National Weather Service and private forecasters points to a peak near 108°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and very low humidity, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 106–107°F (54.5%) and 104–105°F (26.5%).**
This reflects an intense late-August heat wave that has already produced multiple days above 105°F, well above the 1991–2020 normal high of 95.5°F. With an Extreme Heat Warning in effect and minimal cloud cover or moisture expected during peak heating hours, temperatures are likely to approach but not clearly exceed the 107°F date record set in 2023 and 2011. The modest 11.5% on 108–109°F captures residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact wind speeds, while lower bins remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,576End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus from the National Weather Service and private forecasters points to a peak near 108°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and very low humidity, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 106–107°F (54.5%) and 104–105°F (26.5%).** This reflects an intense late-August heat wave that has already produced multiple days above 105°F, well above the 1991–2020 normal high of 95.5°F. With an Extreme Heat Warning in effect and minimal cloud cover or moisture expected during peak heating hours, temperatures are likely to approach but not clearly exceed the 107°F date record set in 2023 and 2011. The modest 11.5% on 108–109°F captures residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact wind speeds, while lower bins remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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