**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 32°C high on August 24, 2026, reflects consistent meteorological forecasts showing a daytime maximum near or at that level under southwest monsoon influence.** Scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (typically 80%+) are expected to moderate solar heating, aligning with late-August climatology where Manila highs average around 30–31°C and rarely exceed 33°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models points to peak readings near 32°C (89°F), with cloud cover and precipitation further capping temperatures. The dominant outcome is supported by this model agreement and historical data from stations such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Realistic challenges include reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall allowing brief spikes above 32°C, though current conditions make that low-probability. Final resolution will depend on verified daily maximum observations from PAGASA or equivalent official monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 24?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$25,303 Vol.
$25,303 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$25,303 Vol.
$25,303 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,265 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,640 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,141 Vol.
100%
33°C
$4,186 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$7,927 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 32°C high on August 24, 2026, reflects consistent meteorological forecasts showing a daytime maximum near or at that level under southwest monsoon influence.**
Scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (typically 80%+) are expected to moderate solar heating, aligning with late-August climatology where Manila highs average around 30–31°C and rarely exceed 33°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models points to peak readings near 32°C (89°F), with cloud cover and precipitation further capping temperatures. The dominant outcome is supported by this model agreement and historical data from stations such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport.
Realistic challenges include reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall allowing brief spikes above 32°C, though current conditions make that low-probability. Final resolution will depend on verified daily maximum observations from PAGASA or equivalent official monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$25,303End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 32°C high on August 24, 2026, reflects consistent meteorological forecasts showing a daytime maximum near or at that level under southwest monsoon influence.**
Scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (typically 80%+) are expected to moderate solar heating, aligning with late-August climatology where Manila highs average around 30–31°C and rarely exceed 33°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models points to peak readings near 32°C (89°F), with cloud cover and precipitation further capping temperatures. The dominant outcome is supported by this model agreement and historical data from stations such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport.
Realistic challenges include reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall allowing brief spikes above 32°C, though current conditions make that low-probability. Final resolution will depend on verified daily maximum observations from PAGASA or equivalent official monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,303End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 32°C high on August 24, 2026, reflects consistent meteorological forecasts showing a daytime maximum near or at that level under southwest monsoon influence.** Scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (typically 80%+) are expected to moderate solar heating, aligning with late-August climatology where Manila highs average around 30–31°C and rarely exceed 33°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models points to peak readings near 32°C (89°F), with cloud cover and precipitation further capping temperatures. The dominant outcome is supported by this model agreement and historical data from stations such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Realistic challenges include reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall allowing brief spikes above 32°C, though current conditions make that low-probability. Final resolution will depend on verified daily maximum observations from PAGASA or equivalent official monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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