Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to mostly sunny conditions and highs near 80–81°F for New York City on August 25 under west-northwest flow following recent frontal passage. Light winds, low humidity, and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers limit convective cooling while allowing efficient daytime heating. Recent observations show highs stabilizing in the low-to-mid 80s after cooler mid-August readings, consistent with late-summer climatology. Trader consensus clusters on the 78–81°F range because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with any upward bias from urban heat effects or slight model warming offset by the possibility of earlier cloud cover. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
78-79°F 48%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 48%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$288 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$413 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$163 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$214 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$717 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$1,310 Vol.
48%
80-81°F
$275 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$281 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$156 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$113 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to mostly sunny conditions and highs near 80–81°F for New York City on August 25 under west-northwest flow following recent frontal passage. Light winds, low humidity, and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers limit convective cooling while allowing efficient daytime heating. Recent observations show highs stabilizing in the low-to-mid 80s after cooler mid-August readings, consistent with late-summer climatology. Trader consensus clusters on the 78–81°F range because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with any upward bias from urban heat effects or slight model warming offset by the possibility of earlier cloud cover. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,137End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to mostly sunny conditions and highs near 80–81°F for New York City on August 25 under west-northwest flow following recent frontal passage. Light winds, low humidity, and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers limit convective cooling while allowing efficient daytime heating. Recent observations show highs stabilizing in the low-to-mid 80s after cooler mid-August readings, consistent with late-summer climatology. Trader consensus clusters on the 78–81°F range because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with any upward bias from urban heat effects or slight model warming offset by the possibility of earlier cloud cover. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,137End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to mostly sunny conditions and highs near 80–81°F for New York City on August 25 under west-northwest flow following recent frontal passage. Light winds, low humidity, and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers limit convective cooling while allowing efficient daytime heating. Recent observations show highs stabilizing in the low-to-mid 80s after cooler mid-August readings, consistent with late-summer climatology. Trader consensus clusters on the 78–81°F range because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with any upward bias from urban heat effects or slight model warming offset by the possibility of earlier cloud cover. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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