**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on August 24, 2026, centers on 31–33°C, reflecting typical rainy-season conditions and a current weather alert.** Historical August averages hover near 30°C for daytime maxima, with rare excursions above 33–34°C due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 80–90%), and afternoon convectional showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. The Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Panama (IMHPA) maintains an active watch through 11:59 p.m. on August 24 for rain, thunderstorms, and winds, which has likely suppressed peak heating by increasing cloudiness and evaporative cooling. Yesterday’s observed high of 91°F (32.8°C) anchors expectations near the current market leaders (32°C at 40.5% implied probability, 33°C at 24.5%, 31°C at 21.5%), while the low odds on 34°C+ (under 10% combined) align with the moderating effects of the storm pattern. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
32°C 41%
33°C 25%
31°C 22%
34°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
41%
33°C
25%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 25%
31°C 22%
34°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
41%
33°C
25%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on August 24, 2026, centers on 31–33°C, reflecting typical rainy-season conditions and a current weather alert.** Historical August averages hover near 30°C for daytime maxima, with rare excursions above 33–34°C due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 80–90%), and afternoon convectional showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. The Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Panama (IMHPA) maintains an active watch through 11:59 p.m. on August 24 for rain, thunderstorms, and winds, which has likely suppressed peak heating by increasing cloudiness and evaporative cooling. Yesterday’s observed high of 91°F (32.8°C) anchors expectations near the current market leaders (32°C at 40.5% implied probability, 33°C at 24.5%, 31°C at 21.5%), while the low odds on 34°C+ (under 10% combined) align with the moderating effects of the storm pattern. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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