**Market-implied odds favor a 31°C daily maximum at Incheon/Seoul on August 24, 2026, reflecting official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time METAR observations showing temperatures reaching 31°C (88°F) by late morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Persistent expansion of the North Pacific high-pressure system has sustained sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds across the region, limiting cloud cover and convective development while moderating peak heating through a modest sea-breeze influence near the coast. Afternoon model guidance and ensemble consensus point to only marginal additional warming, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher low amid typical late-August climatology and recent heat-advisory persistence that has not produced extreme outliers. Updated short-term forecasts from multiple agencies continue to anchor trader expectations around the 31°C threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
31°C 63%
32°C 32%
33°C or higher 5%
23°C or below <1%
NEW
$50,594 Vol.
NEW
$50,594 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
63%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 63%
32°C 32%
33°C or higher 5%
23°C or below <1%
NEW
$50,594 Vol.
NEW
$50,594 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$835 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,582 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,829 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$13,605 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,470 Vol.
63%
32°C
$4,162 Vol.
32%
33°C or higher
$4,483 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 31°C daily maximum at Incheon/Seoul on August 24, 2026, reflecting official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time METAR observations showing temperatures reaching 31°C (88°F) by late morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Persistent expansion of the North Pacific high-pressure system has sustained sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds across the region, limiting cloud cover and convective development while moderating peak heating through a modest sea-breeze influence near the coast. Afternoon model guidance and ensemble consensus point to only marginal additional warming, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher low amid typical late-August climatology and recent heat-advisory persistence that has not produced extreme outliers. Updated short-term forecasts from multiple agencies continue to anchor trader expectations around the 31°C threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$50,594End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 31°C daily maximum at Incheon/Seoul on August 24, 2026, reflecting official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time METAR observations showing temperatures reaching 31°C (88°F) by late morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Persistent expansion of the North Pacific high-pressure system has sustained sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds across the region, limiting cloud cover and convective development while moderating peak heating through a modest sea-breeze influence near the coast. Afternoon model guidance and ensemble consensus point to only marginal additional warming, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher low amid typical late-August climatology and recent heat-advisory persistence that has not produced extreme outliers. Updated short-term forecasts from multiple agencies continue to anchor trader expectations around the 31°C threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,594End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 31°C daily maximum at Incheon/Seoul on August 24, 2026, reflecting official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time METAR observations showing temperatures reaching 31°C (88°F) by late morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Persistent expansion of the North Pacific high-pressure system has sustained sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds across the region, limiting cloud cover and convective development while moderating peak heating through a modest sea-breeze influence near the coast. Afternoon model guidance and ensemble consensus point to only marginal additional warming, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher low amid typical late-August climatology and recent heat-advisory persistence that has not produced extreme outliers. Updated short-term forecasts from multiple agencies continue to anchor trader expectations around the 31°C threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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