Persistent monsoon-driven rain, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity near 85–90% are suppressing daytime heating in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate on August 24, 2026, anchoring official forecasts and model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance around a daily maximum of 31°C. Thunderstorms and weak steering winds favor scattered convection that caps afternoon peaks, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 32°C but frequently fall lower under similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for 31°C incorporates this strong convergence while assigning only modest weight to upside risks. Clearer skies or earlier convective breaks could realistically push readings to 32–33°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 95%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$58,778 Vol.
$58,778 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
95%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 95%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$58,778 Vol.
$58,778 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$384 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,318 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,282 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,565 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$17,719 Vol.
95%
32°C
$7,654 Vol.
5%
33°C
$6,501 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,804 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$5,993 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven rain, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity near 85–90% are suppressing daytime heating in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate on August 24, 2026, anchoring official forecasts and model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance around a daily maximum of 31°C. Thunderstorms and weak steering winds favor scattered convection that caps afternoon peaks, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 32°C but frequently fall lower under similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for 31°C incorporates this strong convergence while assigning only modest weight to upside risks. Clearer skies or earlier convective breaks could realistically push readings to 32–33°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$58,778End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven rain, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity near 85–90% are suppressing daytime heating in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate on August 24, 2026, anchoring official forecasts and model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance around a daily maximum of 31°C. Thunderstorms and weak steering winds favor scattered convection that caps afternoon peaks, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 32°C but frequently fall lower under similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for 31°C incorporates this strong convergence while assigning only modest weight to upside risks. Clearer skies or earlier convective breaks could realistically push readings to 32–33°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,778End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven rain, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity near 85–90% are suppressing daytime heating in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate on August 24, 2026, anchoring official forecasts and model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance around a daily maximum of 31°C. Thunderstorms and weak steering winds favor scattered convection that caps afternoon peaks, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 32°C but frequently fall lower under similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for 31°C incorporates this strong convergence while assigning only modest weight to upside risks. Clearer skies or earlier convective breaks could realistically push readings to 32–33°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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