Official forecasts from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration point to a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on August 24, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, near-90% humidity, and moderate rain or thunderstorms that suppress radiative cooling in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions compress the diurnal temperature range, preventing sharper overnight drops typical under clear skies. Ensemble model spreads and minor differences in predicted rain timing or wind create the tight clustering among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of observational data and short-range guidance. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable that could shift the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
27°C 35%
26°C 34%
25°C 33%
29°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
33%
26°C
34%
27°C
35%
28°C
29%
29°C
24%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
26°C 34%
25°C 33%
29°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$802 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$93 Vol.
1%
24°C
$123 Vol.
1%
25°C
$11 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$6 Vol.
29%
29°C
$307 Vol.
24%
30°C
$25 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration point to a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on August 24, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, near-90% humidity, and moderate rain or thunderstorms that suppress radiative cooling in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions compress the diurnal temperature range, preventing sharper overnight drops typical under clear skies. Ensemble model spreads and minor differences in predicted rain timing or wind create the tight clustering among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of observational data and short-range guidance. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable that could shift the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,611End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration point to a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on August 24, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, near-90% humidity, and moderate rain or thunderstorms that suppress radiative cooling in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions compress the diurnal temperature range, preventing sharper overnight drops typical under clear skies. Ensemble model spreads and minor differences in predicted rain timing or wind create the tight clustering among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of observational data and short-range guidance. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable that could shift the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,611End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration point to a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on August 24, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, near-90% humidity, and moderate rain or thunderstorms that suppress radiative cooling in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions compress the diurnal temperature range, preventing sharper overnight drops typical under clear skies. Ensemble model spreads and minor differences in predicted rain timing or wind create the tight clustering among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of observational data and short-range guidance. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable that could shift the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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