**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 33°C daily maximum in Singapore on August 24, 2026 (70.5% implied probability), with 32°C and 34°C as secondary outcomes.** This reflects the official Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and NEA fortnightly outlook for the second half of August, which projects daily highs of 33–34°C on most days under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a smaller chance of reaching 35°C. Southwest monsoon winds from the southeast or southwest, combined with below-average rainfall and mostly fair or partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thundery showers, support elevated daytime heating. Recent observations reinforce this: early-to-mid August maxima frequently exceeded 33°C, peaking at 34.9°C at Pulau Ubin on August 14, while the monthly average high sits near 31–32°C. Current model guidance and station readings show temperatures climbing into the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with reaching but not exceeding the upper end of the typical range today. The market pricing embeds the scientific consensus on these climatological and synoptic factors, with lower probabilities for outliers (e.g., 35°C+) reflecting the low likelihood of extreme intensification under current steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations from NEA/MSS stations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
33°C 74%
32°C 16%
34°C 13%
35°C or higher <1%
NEW
$29,347 Vol.
NEW
$29,347 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
16%
33°C
74%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
32°C 16%
34°C 13%
35°C or higher <1%
NEW
$29,347 Vol.
NEW
$29,347 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$181 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,159 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,825 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,582 Vol.
16%
33°C
$4,100 Vol.
74%
34°C
$8,774 Vol.
13%
35°C or higher
$1,729 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 33°C daily maximum in Singapore on August 24, 2026 (70.5% implied probability), with 32°C and 34°C as secondary outcomes.** This reflects the official Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and NEA fortnightly outlook for the second half of August, which projects daily highs of 33–34°C on most days under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a smaller chance of reaching 35°C.
Southwest monsoon winds from the southeast or southwest, combined with below-average rainfall and mostly fair or partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thundery showers, support elevated daytime heating. Recent observations reinforce this: early-to-mid August maxima frequently exceeded 33°C, peaking at 34.9°C at Pulau Ubin on August 14, while the monthly average high sits near 31–32°C. Current model guidance and station readings show temperatures climbing into the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with reaching but not exceeding the upper end of the typical range today.
The market pricing embeds the scientific consensus on these climatological and synoptic factors, with lower probabilities for outliers (e.g., 35°C+) reflecting the low likelihood of extreme intensification under current steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations from NEA/MSS stations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$29,347End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 33°C daily maximum in Singapore on August 24, 2026 (70.5% implied probability), with 32°C and 34°C as secondary outcomes.** This reflects the official Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and NEA fortnightly outlook for the second half of August, which projects daily highs of 33–34°C on most days under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a smaller chance of reaching 35°C.
Southwest monsoon winds from the southeast or southwest, combined with below-average rainfall and mostly fair or partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thundery showers, support elevated daytime heating. Recent observations reinforce this: early-to-mid August maxima frequently exceeded 33°C, peaking at 34.9°C at Pulau Ubin on August 14, while the monthly average high sits near 31–32°C. Current model guidance and station readings show temperatures climbing into the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with reaching but not exceeding the upper end of the typical range today.
The market pricing embeds the scientific consensus on these climatological and synoptic factors, with lower probabilities for outliers (e.g., 35°C+) reflecting the low likelihood of extreme intensification under current steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations from NEA/MSS stations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,347End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 33°C daily maximum in Singapore on August 24, 2026 (70.5% implied probability), with 32°C and 34°C as secondary outcomes.** This reflects the official Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) and NEA fortnightly outlook for the second half of August, which projects daily highs of 33–34°C on most days under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a smaller chance of reaching 35°C. Southwest monsoon winds from the southeast or southwest, combined with below-average rainfall and mostly fair or partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thundery showers, support elevated daytime heating. Recent observations reinforce this: early-to-mid August maxima frequently exceeded 33°C, peaking at 34.9°C at Pulau Ubin on August 14, while the monthly average high sits near 31–32°C. Current model guidance and station readings show temperatures climbing into the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with reaching but not exceeding the upper end of the typical range today. The market pricing embeds the scientific consensus on these climatological and synoptic factors, with lower probabilities for outliers (e.g., 35°C+) reflecting the low likelihood of extreme intensification under current steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations from NEA/MSS stations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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