Current meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula indicate a stable warm air mass over Busan on August 24, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and marine influence from the East Sea, producing a projected daily minimum of 26°C. This aligns with late-August climatology, where tropical nights commonly yield lows near 25°C amid small diurnal ranges of 5–8°C and minimal frontal activity before seasonal cooling begins. Trader consensus at 98% for 26°C reflects model agreement across ensembles with low uncertainty in this timeframe. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected precipitation could shift the low downward, though such shifts remain improbable given persistent summer patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
26°C 98%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
19°C or below <1%
$3,493 Vol.
$3,493 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
19°C or below <1%
$3,493 Vol.
$3,493 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$674 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$85 Vol.
2%
25°C
$94 Vol.
2%
26°C
$836 Vol.
98%
27°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula indicate a stable warm air mass over Busan on August 24, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and marine influence from the East Sea, producing a projected daily minimum of 26°C. This aligns with late-August climatology, where tropical nights commonly yield lows near 25°C amid small diurnal ranges of 5–8°C and minimal frontal activity before seasonal cooling begins. Trader consensus at 98% for 26°C reflects model agreement across ensembles with low uncertainty in this timeframe. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected precipitation could shift the low downward, though such shifts remain improbable given persistent summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,493End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula indicate a stable warm air mass over Busan on August 24, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and marine influence from the East Sea, producing a projected daily minimum of 26°C. This aligns with late-August climatology, where tropical nights commonly yield lows near 25°C amid small diurnal ranges of 5–8°C and minimal frontal activity before seasonal cooling begins. Trader consensus at 98% for 26°C reflects model agreement across ensembles with low uncertainty in this timeframe. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected precipitation could shift the low downward, though such shifts remain improbable given persistent summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,493End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula indicate a stable warm air mass over Busan on August 24, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and marine influence from the East Sea, producing a projected daily minimum of 26°C. This aligns with late-August climatology, where tropical nights commonly yield lows near 25°C amid small diurnal ranges of 5–8°C and minimal frontal activity before seasonal cooling begins. Trader consensus at 98% for 26°C reflects model agreement across ensembles with low uncertainty in this timeframe. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected precipitation could shift the low downward, though such shifts remain improbable given persistent summer patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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