Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$6,929 Vol.
$6,929 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$6,929 Vol.
$6,929 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$179 Vol.
No
21°C
$282 Vol.
No
22°C
$716 Vol.
No
23°C
$221 Vol.
No
24°C
$949 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$3,132 Vol.
No
26°C
$305 Vol.
No
27°C
$375 Vol.
No
28°C
$254 Vol.
No
29°C
$120 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$395 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6,929End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,929End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions