**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on the 23–27°C range because recent forecasts and historical late-summer patterns point to overnight lows in the mid-20s amid typical monsoon humidity and scattered showers.** Current conditions on August 23 show daytime highs near 30–33°C with high humidity (often 70–85%) and light winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration align with climatological averages for Chengdu in late August, where nighttime lows typically range 22–26°C due to the city's basin topography and urban heat island effect that retains warmth. The close probabilities among 25°C (38%), 27°C (33.5%), and 23°C (27%) reflect model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, shower timing, and wind patterns over the next 24 hours—factors that can shift the low by 1–3°C. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces clear-sky cooling, while any evening rain would further suppress the drop. Upcoming forecast updates from regional meteorological centers will likely refine these variables and influence market adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 47%
27°C 34%
23°C 27%
26°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
47%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
38%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 47%
27°C 34%
23°C 27%
26°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$39 Vol.
47%
21°C
$80 Vol.
1%
22°C
$68 Vol.
2%
23°C
$6 Vol.
27%
24°C
$6 Vol.
21%
25°C
$943 Vol.
38%
26°C
$6 Vol.
23%
27°C
$6 Vol.
34%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on the 23–27°C range because recent forecasts and historical late-summer patterns point to overnight lows in the mid-20s amid typical monsoon humidity and scattered showers.**
Current conditions on August 23 show daytime highs near 30–33°C with high humidity (often 70–85%) and light winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration align with climatological averages for Chengdu in late August, where nighttime lows typically range 22–26°C due to the city's basin topography and urban heat island effect that retains warmth.
The close probabilities among 25°C (38%), 27°C (33.5%), and 23°C (27%) reflect model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, shower timing, and wind patterns over the next 24 hours—factors that can shift the low by 1–3°C. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces clear-sky cooling, while any evening rain would further suppress the drop. Upcoming forecast updates from regional meteorological centers will likely refine these variables and influence market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,491End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on the 23–27°C range because recent forecasts and historical late-summer patterns point to overnight lows in the mid-20s amid typical monsoon humidity and scattered showers.**
Current conditions on August 23 show daytime highs near 30–33°C with high humidity (often 70–85%) and light winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration align with climatological averages for Chengdu in late August, where nighttime lows typically range 22–26°C due to the city's basin topography and urban heat island effect that retains warmth.
The close probabilities among 25°C (38%), 27°C (33.5%), and 23°C (27%) reflect model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, shower timing, and wind patterns over the next 24 hours—factors that can shift the low by 1–3°C. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces clear-sky cooling, while any evening rain would further suppress the drop. Upcoming forecast updates from regional meteorological centers will likely refine these variables and influence market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,491End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on the 23–27°C range because recent forecasts and historical late-summer patterns point to overnight lows in the mid-20s amid typical monsoon humidity and scattered showers.** Current conditions on August 23 show daytime highs near 30–33°C with high humidity (often 70–85%) and light winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration align with climatological averages for Chengdu in late August, where nighttime lows typically range 22–26°C due to the city's basin topography and urban heat island effect that retains warmth. The close probabilities among 25°C (38%), 27°C (33.5%), and 23°C (27%) reflect model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, shower timing, and wind patterns over the next 24 hours—factors that can shift the low by 1–3°C. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces clear-sky cooling, while any evening rain would further suppress the drop. Upcoming forecast updates from regional meteorological centers will likely refine these variables and influence market adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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