Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and station observations at Heathrow indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will produce a minimum near 14–16°C, with early-morning readings already hovering around 14–15°C. High pressure and dry conditions have kept temperatures above seasonal norms for much of August, yet the absence of cloud cover tonight supports modest further drops consistent with model consensus. These data place the market-implied odds firmly between 13°C and 14°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty band in current numerical guidance ahead of final overnight measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 24?
Lowest temperature in London on August 24?
13°C 98%
12°C 2.7%
14°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98%
12°C 2.7%
14°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
$154 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$556 Vol.
3%
13°C
$1,428 Vol.
98%
14°C
$1,982 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,795 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$511 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and station observations at Heathrow indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will produce a minimum near 14–16°C, with early-morning readings already hovering around 14–15°C. High pressure and dry conditions have kept temperatures above seasonal norms for much of August, yet the absence of cloud cover tonight supports modest further drops consistent with model consensus. These data place the market-implied odds firmly between 13°C and 14°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty band in current numerical guidance ahead of final overnight measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,579End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and station observations at Heathrow indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will produce a minimum near 14–16°C, with early-morning readings already hovering around 14–15°C. High pressure and dry conditions have kept temperatures above seasonal norms for much of August, yet the absence of cloud cover tonight supports modest further drops consistent with model consensus. These data place the market-implied odds firmly between 13°C and 14°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty band in current numerical guidance ahead of final overnight measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,579End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and station observations at Heathrow indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will produce a minimum near 14–16°C, with early-morning readings already hovering around 14–15°C. High pressure and dry conditions have kept temperatures above seasonal norms for much of August, yet the absence of cloud cover tonight supports modest further drops consistent with model consensus. These data place the market-implied odds firmly between 13°C and 14°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty band in current numerical guidance ahead of final overnight measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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