**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and high humidity are sustaining elevated nighttime temperatures across Lucknow, with India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts pointing to a minimum near 27°C on August 24.** Recent days have recorded lows of 26–28°C amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling, consistent with August climatological norms of roughly 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this stable pattern and alignment with official model guidance. A sharper clearing of skies or unexpected dry-air intrusion could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
27°C 97%
26°C 5%
23°C 2%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 5%
23°C 2%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$57 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$160 Vol.
2%
24°C
$86 Vol.
1%
25°C
$92 Vol.
1%
26°C
$21 Vol.
5%
27°C
$105 Vol.
97%
28°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and high humidity are sustaining elevated nighttime temperatures across Lucknow, with India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts pointing to a minimum near 27°C on August 24.** Recent days have recorded lows of 26–28°C amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling, consistent with August climatological norms of roughly 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this stable pattern and alignment with official model guidance. A sharper clearing of skies or unexpected dry-air intrusion could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,829End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and high humidity are sustaining elevated nighttime temperatures across Lucknow, with India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts pointing to a minimum near 27°C on August 24.** Recent days have recorded lows of 26–28°C amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling, consistent with August climatological norms of roughly 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this stable pattern and alignment with official model guidance. A sharper clearing of skies or unexpected dry-air intrusion could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,829End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and high humidity are sustaining elevated nighttime temperatures across Lucknow, with India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts pointing to a minimum near 27°C on August 24.** Recent days have recorded lows of 26–28°C amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling, consistent with August climatological norms of roughly 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this stable pattern and alignment with official model guidance. A sharper clearing of skies or unexpected dry-air intrusion could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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