Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate light rain or showers with persistent cloud cover over Lucknow on August 25, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C. High monsoon humidity and soil moisture further elevate overnight lows by reducing the temperature drop after sunset, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, with probabilities spread across 26–28°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 27°C provide context, though active monsoon patterns this season favor the higher end of typical ranges. Updated model runs and IMD briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
32°C or higher 60%
27°C 34%
28°C 30%
26°C 29%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
34%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
60%
32°C or higher 60%
27°C 34%
28°C 30%
26°C 29%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
34%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate light rain or showers with persistent cloud cover over Lucknow on August 25, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C. High monsoon humidity and soil moisture further elevate overnight lows by reducing the temperature drop after sunset, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, with probabilities spread across 26–28°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 27°C provide context, though active monsoon patterns this season favor the higher end of typical ranges. Updated model runs and IMD briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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