Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow through August 25, suppressing daytime heating and limiting maximum temperatures to the low-to-mid 30s°C range amid high humidity. Active rainfall patterns, observed in the past week with deficits narrowing regionally, further reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 31–33°C where market-implied odds currently concentrate. Key variables include exact rain timing, fractional cloud cover, and steering winds that could allow brief clear spells for 34°C or heavier downpours pushing readings lower. Traders weigh these against typical August baselines near 33°C, with IMD updates on model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
34%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
27°C or below
$75 Vol.
1%
28°C
$65 Vol.
2%
29°C
$11 Vol.
6%
30°C
$25 Vol.
8%
31°C
$15 Vol.
24%
32°C
$37 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$19 Vol.
12%
35°C
$22 Vol.
4%
36°C
$43 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow through August 25, suppressing daytime heating and limiting maximum temperatures to the low-to-mid 30s°C range amid high humidity. Active rainfall patterns, observed in the past week with deficits narrowing regionally, further reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 31–33°C where market-implied odds currently concentrate. Key variables include exact rain timing, fractional cloud cover, and steering winds that could allow brief clear spells for 34°C or heavier downpours pushing readings lower. Traders weigh these against typical August baselines near 33°C, with IMD updates on model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$328End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow through August 25, suppressing daytime heating and limiting maximum temperatures to the low-to-mid 30s°C range amid high humidity. Active rainfall patterns, observed in the past week with deficits narrowing regionally, further reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 31–33°C where market-implied odds currently concentrate. Key variables include exact rain timing, fractional cloud cover, and steering winds that could allow brief clear spells for 34°C or heavier downpours pushing readings lower. Traders weigh these against typical August baselines near 33°C, with IMD updates on model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$328End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow through August 25, suppressing daytime heating and limiting maximum temperatures to the low-to-mid 30s°C range amid high humidity. Active rainfall patterns, observed in the past week with deficits narrowing regionally, further reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near 31–33°C where market-implied odds currently concentrate. Key variables include exact rain timing, fractional cloud cover, and steering winds that could allow brief clear spells for 34°C or heavier downpours pushing readings lower. Traders weigh these against typical August baselines near 33°C, with IMD updates on model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily high is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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