Recent India Meteorological Department observations at Lucknow Airport record a minimum temperature of 27°C through the morning of August 23, 2026, with night temperatures across Uttar Pradesh showing little change and remaining near or slightly above normal amid a persistent low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal. This synoptic setup has sustained widespread cloud cover, light rainfall, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling, aligning with model consensus for overnight lows near 27°C. Trader consensus at 59.5% for 27°C reflects these verified measurements and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as clearer skies or drier air advection, while lower-probability outcomes below 26°C would require unexpected radiative cooling not supported by current IMD guidance or regional analogs. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C <1%
22°C <1%
$2,071 Vol.
$2,071 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
59%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C <1%
22°C <1%
$2,071 Vol.
$2,071 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
59%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department observations at Lucknow Airport record a minimum temperature of 27°C through the morning of August 23, 2026, with night temperatures across Uttar Pradesh showing little change and remaining near or slightly above normal amid a persistent low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal. This synoptic setup has sustained widespread cloud cover, light rainfall, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling, aligning with model consensus for overnight lows near 27°C. Trader consensus at 59.5% for 27°C reflects these verified measurements and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as clearer skies or drier air advection, while lower-probability outcomes below 26°C would require unexpected radiative cooling not supported by current IMD guidance or regional analogs. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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