Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow on August 26, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light easterly winds and widespread overcast conditions reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values of 25–28 °C. Trader consensus at 27 °C (42.5 %) and 26 °C (33 %) reflects this consensus, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on model spread in rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling. Updated IMD and ECMWF runs ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 48%
27°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
21%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C
48%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
6%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 48%
27°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow on August 26, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light easterly winds and widespread overcast conditions reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values of 25–28 °C. Trader consensus at 27 °C (42.5 %) and 26 °C (33 %) reflects this consensus, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on model spread in rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling. Updated IMD and ECMWF runs ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow on August 26, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light easterly winds and widespread overcast conditions reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values of 25–28 °C. Trader consensus at 27 °C (42.5 %) and 26 °C (33 %) reflects this consensus, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on model spread in rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling. Updated IMD and ECMWF runs ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow on August 26, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light easterly winds and widespread overcast conditions reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values of 25–28 °C. Trader consensus at 27 °C (42.5 %) and 26 °C (33 %) reflects this consensus, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on model spread in rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling. Updated IMD and ECMWF runs ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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