Active southwest monsoon conditions, including cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, are the dominant driver moderating Lucknow's daytime highs as August 26 approaches. Official IMD guidance indicates a maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while other models project 29–34°C depending on rainfall timing and extent. Recent observations show daily maxima of 30–35°C amid humid, overcast conditions that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 30–33°C reflects expectations of typical monsoon suppression rather than clear-sky peaks near 34–36°C or cooler outliers below 30°C. Updated model runs and regional rainfall reports over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
32°C 43%
31°C 38%
33°C 27%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
38%
32°C
43%
33°C
27%
34°C
13%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 38%
33°C 27%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
38%
32°C
$0 Vol.
43%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$11 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, are the dominant driver moderating Lucknow's daytime highs as August 26 approaches. Official IMD guidance indicates a maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while other models project 29–34°C depending on rainfall timing and extent. Recent observations show daily maxima of 30–35°C amid humid, overcast conditions that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 30–33°C reflects expectations of typical monsoon suppression rather than clear-sky peaks near 34–36°C or cooler outliers below 30°C. Updated model runs and regional rainfall reports over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, are the dominant driver moderating Lucknow's daytime highs as August 26 approaches. Official IMD guidance indicates a maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while other models project 29–34°C depending on rainfall timing and extent. Recent observations show daily maxima of 30–35°C amid humid, overcast conditions that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 30–33°C reflects expectations of typical monsoon suppression rather than clear-sky peaks near 34–36°C or cooler outliers below 30°C. Updated model runs and regional rainfall reports over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, are the dominant driver moderating Lucknow's daytime highs as August 26 approaches. Official IMD guidance indicates a maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while other models project 29–34°C depending on rainfall timing and extent. Recent observations show daily maxima of 30–35°C amid humid, overcast conditions that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 30–33°C reflects expectations of typical monsoon suppression rather than clear-sky peaks near 34–36°C or cooler outliers below 30°C. Updated model runs and regional rainfall reports over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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