Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to an overnight low of 18°C in Milan on August 24, driving the 96.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Recent observations show cooling trends, with prior nights recording minima near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and light northeasterly winds limiting further radiative cooling. Consensus across ensembles supports this threshold as the most probable minimum, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or stronger winds could lower readings toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
18°C 97%
16°C 6%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
97%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 97%
16°C 6%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
$166 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$272 Vol.
1%
16°C
$68 Vol.
6%
17°C
$42 Vol.
17%
18°C
$136 Vol.
97%
19°C
$1,342 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$398 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to an overnight low of 18°C in Milan on August 24, driving the 96.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Recent observations show cooling trends, with prior nights recording minima near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and light northeasterly winds limiting further radiative cooling. Consensus across ensembles supports this threshold as the most probable minimum, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or stronger winds could lower readings toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,765End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to an overnight low of 18°C in Milan on August 24, driving the 96.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Recent observations show cooling trends, with prior nights recording minima near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and light northeasterly winds limiting further radiative cooling. Consensus across ensembles supports this threshold as the most probable minimum, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or stronger winds could lower readings toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,765End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to an overnight low of 18°C in Milan on August 24, driving the 96.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Recent observations show cooling trends, with prior nights recording minima near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and light northeasterly winds limiting further radiative cooling. Consensus across ensembles supports this threshold as the most probable minimum, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or stronger winds could lower readings toward 17°C, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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