Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11.8°C. Southwesterly winds, moderate pressure, and possible light rain under cloudy skies support typical late-summer radiative cooling without Arctic air intrusions or strong clear-sky enhancements. Multiple models show consensus around this range, though localized cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the minimum slightly lower to 10°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this guidance, concentrating probability on 11°C and 10°C outcomes consistent with current observational trends and the absence of anomalous cooling signals. Resolution depends on verified station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 45%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
45%
10°C
-
11°C
62%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 45%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$52 Vol.
45%
10°C
$87 Vol.
-
11°C
$54 Vol.
62%
12°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$978 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11.8°C. Southwesterly winds, moderate pressure, and possible light rain under cloudy skies support typical late-summer radiative cooling without Arctic air intrusions or strong clear-sky enhancements. Multiple models show consensus around this range, though localized cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the minimum slightly lower to 10°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this guidance, concentrating probability on 11°C and 10°C outcomes consistent with current observational trends and the absence of anomalous cooling signals. Resolution depends on verified station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,384End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11.8°C. Southwesterly winds, moderate pressure, and possible light rain under cloudy skies support typical late-summer radiative cooling without Arctic air intrusions or strong clear-sky enhancements. Multiple models show consensus around this range, though localized cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the minimum slightly lower to 10°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this guidance, concentrating probability on 11°C and 10°C outcomes consistent with current observational trends and the absence of anomalous cooling signals. Resolution depends on verified station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,384End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11.8°C. Southwesterly winds, moderate pressure, and possible light rain under cloudy skies support typical late-summer radiative cooling without Arctic air intrusions or strong clear-sky enhancements. Multiple models show consensus around this range, though localized cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the minimum slightly lower to 10°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this guidance, concentrating probability on 11°C and 10°C outcomes consistent with current observational trends and the absence of anomalous cooling signals. Resolution depends on verified station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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