Otaviano Pivetta holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Mato Grosso governor race due to his incumbency since March 2026, when he succeeded Mauro Mendes, combined with Republicanos-União Brasil alliances and strong agribusiness backing in the state's agricultural economy. Recent candidate registrations confirm a six-person field, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) polling ahead or tied in mid-August surveys at 27-34% versus Pivetta's 20-27%, amid 23-32% undecided voters. Fagundes's legislative experience and party support create a competitive dynamic, while lower-polling names like Natasha Slhessarenko remain marginal. High rejection rates for the incumbent and the October 4 first-round timeline, with possible runoff, sustain tight implied probabilities as campaigns ramp up with TV advertising starting late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOtaviano Pivetta 64%
Wellington Fagundes 31%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
Doutora Natasha <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Otaviano Pivetta
64%
Wellington Fagundes
31%
Sargento Laudicério
1%
Doutora Natasha
1%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
Otaviano Pivetta 64%
Wellington Fagundes 31%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
Doutora Natasha <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Otaviano Pivetta
$879 Vol.
64%
Wellington Fagundes
$6,467 Vol.
31%
Sargento Laudicério
$298 Vol.
1%
Doutora Natasha
$380 Vol.
1%
Mauricio Coelho
$287 Vol.
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$498 Vol.
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Otaviano Pivetta holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Mato Grosso governor race due to his incumbency since March 2026, when he succeeded Mauro Mendes, combined with Republicanos-União Brasil alliances and strong agribusiness backing in the state's agricultural economy. Recent candidate registrations confirm a six-person field, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) polling ahead or tied in mid-August surveys at 27-34% versus Pivetta's 20-27%, amid 23-32% undecided voters. Fagundes's legislative experience and party support create a competitive dynamic, while lower-polling names like Natasha Slhessarenko remain marginal. High rejection rates for the incumbent and the October 4 first-round timeline, with possible runoff, sustain tight implied probabilities as campaigns ramp up with TV advertising starting late August.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Volume
$8,810End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Otaviano Pivetta holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Mato Grosso governor race due to his incumbency since March 2026, when he succeeded Mauro Mendes, combined with Republicanos-União Brasil alliances and strong agribusiness backing in the state's agricultural economy. Recent candidate registrations confirm a six-person field, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) polling ahead or tied in mid-August surveys at 27-34% versus Pivetta's 20-27%, amid 23-32% undecided voters. Fagundes's legislative experience and party support create a competitive dynamic, while lower-polling names like Natasha Slhessarenko remain marginal. High rejection rates for the incumbent and the October 4 first-round timeline, with possible runoff, sustain tight implied probabilities as campaigns ramp up with TV advertising starting late August.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,810End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Otaviano Pivetta holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Mato Grosso governor race due to his incumbency since March 2026, when he succeeded Mauro Mendes, combined with Republicanos-União Brasil alliances and strong agribusiness backing in the state's agricultural economy. Recent candidate registrations confirm a six-person field, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) polling ahead or tied in mid-August surveys at 27-34% versus Pivetta's 20-27%, amid 23-32% undecided voters. Fagundes's legislative experience and party support create a competitive dynamic, while lower-polling names like Natasha Slhessarenko remain marginal. High rejection rates for the incumbent and the October 4 first-round timeline, with possible runoff, sustain tight implied probabilities as campaigns ramp up with TV advertising starting late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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